Thursday, January 12, 2012

Best metric: EBITDA/TEV

Turnkey analyst state:
We compare the investment performance of portfolios sorted on different valuation measures.  EBITDA/TEV has historically been the best performing metric and outperforms many investor favorites such as price-to-earnings, free-cash-flow to total enterprise value, and book-to-market.  We also explore the investment potential of long-term valuation ratios, which replace one-year earnings with an average of long-term earnings. In contrast to prior empirical work, we find that long-term ratios add little investment value over standard one-year valuation metrics.

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